Black Panther‘s opening weekend prospects are looking better and better. Industry estimates now have the latest Marvel Studios film earning $185.4M in its first three days in North America and up to $212.1M over its first four days. Those projections are up from $175M and $200M, respectively, earlier today.
Black Panther brought in an estimated $76M on Friday, including $25.2M from Thursday night preview screenings. The film received just the second “A+” CinemaScore in live-action superhero movie history, so the final totals for Friday and the rest of the weekend could exceed these already lofty projections.
Should Black Panther open at $185.4M over three days, it would be the third best opening for any superhero hero movie. It would surpass Captain America: Civil War ($179.1M) and only trail The Avengers($207.4M) and Avengers: Age of Ultron ($191.3). There is little doubt Black Panther will at least beat Iron Man 3 ($174.1M) for the best 3-day opening of any true solo superhero movie.
Disney’s own estimates are a little more conservative. They’re expecting $190M to $205M over the four-day President’s Day weekend. As usual, the studio is coming in under the rest of the industry’s projections to ward off any talk of disappointment, should the film come in a bit lower than the current estimates.
At this point, however, Black Panther is going to finish the weekend well above any number at which anyone could make a reasonable attempt to use the word “disappointment” in association with the film’s performance.