Scarlet Witch (odds of dying: 35 to 1)
As thrilled as some Marvel fans would be for a Scarlet Witch (Elizabeth Olsen) and Vision (Paul Bettany) movie, it seems like a long-shot. That makes both characters vulnerable. Wanda Maximoff got her powers from the Mind Stone and showed she has at least some control over it in Captain America: Civil War. That will make her extremely valuable in the fight against Thanos, but it will also motivate The Mad Titan to attack her. She is powerful enough to defend herself, though, and potential appearances in future Doctor Strange movies and the “it had better happen” all-female team-up might motivate Marvel Studios to keep her around.
Falcon (odds of dying: 30 to 1)
Sam Wilson (Anthony Mackie) may be one of those casualties of the Battle of Wakanda. He’s got wings and guns, but no super powers and no franchise of his own. His death would have a major emotional impact on the team and we know they are going to be rocked by significant losses. What Wilson has going for him is the possibility of surviving, picking up the shield, and carrying on the legacy built by his best friend, Steve Rogers, who is far less likely to see Phase 4.
Pepper Potts (odds of dying: 20 to 1)
Pepper Potts (Gwyneth Paltrow) may have only just returned to the MCU in Spider-Man: Homecoming, but that hardly makes her safe. Her emotional and geographic proximity to Tony Stark may be enough to get her killed. Everyone who helped start the MCU in Iron Man is a big target. Pepper could be safe, though, if she can stay far enough away from any battles.
M’Baku (odds of dying: 20 to 1), added March 26, 2018
Are you done?
M’Baku might be! He can be seen at the Battle of Wakanda in the trailers. That’s bad enough, but consider that every corner of the Marvel Cinematic Universe could lose a popular character and then you’ll really start to worry about this breakout star from Black Panther.
If a name character from Wakanda is going to go, M’Baku is the most likely candidate. T’Challa, Shuri, and Okoye are all more central figures in the present and future of the Black Panther franchise. Nakia (Lupita Nyong’o) hasn’t even made this list yet, because as far as we know, she’s not in Infinity War.
Wakanda is going to lose people in this battle, and the death of a leader like M’Baku would create some very interesting story possibilities for the Black Panther sequel. He doesn’t need to die, but if it happens, M’Baku’s death could serve a major narrative purpose as Wakanda deals with T’Challa’s decision to open their borders ultimately leading to horrible violence.
Nick Fury (odds of dying 18 to 1, improved from 1 to 1)
The “idea” that all The Avengers are talking about in the trailer belonged to Nick Fury (Samuel L. Jackson). It is his speech that he starts and they finish. The Avengers were his vision, his initiative. He is not going to let them go down without a fight. I feel a little better about Fury’s survival chances now than when I started this dead pool in December, but there are still some cold, hard realities to consider.
We have seen less and less of Fury over the past few years. We may be reuniting with a younger version of him in Captain Marvel, but that could just be a set up for us to say goodbye to him in Avengers 4.